Microsoft: Russian Influence Operations Targeting U.S. Election Have Already Begun

Microsoft revealed that Russian efforts to influence the upcoming U.S. presidential election have commenced, albeit at a slower pace compared to previous electoral cycles. The tech giant disclosed that over the past 45 days, Russia-linked online campaigns have been actively disseminating divisive content targeting American audiences. This content includes critiques of American support for Ukraine in its conflict with Russia, as outlined in a report by Microsoft researchers.

Despite Microsoft's findings, the Russian embassy in Washington declined to comment on the matter. However, the Kremlin has previously stated its intention not to interfere in the November U.S. election, dismissing allegations of involvement in the 2016 and 2020 presidential races.

While the observed Russian activity appears less intense than in previous elections, Microsoft warns that it could escalate in the months leading up to the election. According to the tech giant, messaging concerning Ukraine has gained traction through both covert and overt campaigns across traditional and social media platforms.

Microsoft identified several Russian-affiliated activity sets involved in these campaigns, with one notably linked to Russia's Presidential Administration. Additionally, there are efforts to spread disinformation across various languages, often starting with content posted by apparent whistleblowers or citizen journalists on video channels. This content is then propagated by a network of websites, including DC Weekly, Miami Chronical, and The Intel Drop.

Of particular concern is the "notable uptick" in hacking activities by a Russian group known as Star Blizzard, or Cold River, which is targeting western think tanks. Microsoft suggests that this focus on U.S. political figures and policy circles may be part of a broader strategy to influence the November election.

While there are concerns about the malicious use of artificial intelligence (AI) in influencing the election, Microsoft found that simpler digital forgeries are more prevalent than deepfakes. Audio manipulations, in particular, have a greater impact than video manipulations. Despite the potential of AI-enabled content, Microsoft emphasizes that simpler manipulations are likely to have the most significant effect on social media audiences.

In summary, Microsoft's findings highlight ongoing Russian efforts to influence the U.S. election through online campaigns and hacking activities. While these efforts may not be as pronounced as in previous elections, they remain a cause for concern as the election approaches. Additionally, the prevalence of simpler digital forgeries underscores the need for vigilance against misinformation and manipulation in the digital sphere.